It seems the teams are not motivated to show us a vigorous game. Newcastle has a lack of seven points until the relegation zone, and Burnley has a lack of four until the top-5. Nevertheless, the players do not likely believe in relegation or getting into the Champions League.
The Magpies played 8 out of 13 home games with total under 2.5. There are still a lot of injured: Clark, Willems, Carroll, Dummett, Atsu, Shelvey, Manquillo, and Kraft. As for Burnley, Wood and Barnes may not play, although their absence did not stop them from defeating Bournemouth 3:0. However, a victory over Bournemouth at home is Completely different from a victory over Newcastle away.
Note that Newcastle lost only three matches at home stadium this season. At the same time, the team has problems in the attack (three games without goals).
We think many goals are improbable in this game, and even a draw is possible. We recommend betting on total under (2) with a rate of 2.05.